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London on High Alert: Potential Measles Outbreak Might Impact Thousands

London on High Alert: Potential Measles Outbreak Might Impact Thousands”


A Potential Health Crisis Looms in London

The city of London could be on the verge of a health crisis with an impending measles outbreak, warns the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA).

Scientific calculations predict a possible surge of measles cases ranging from 40,000 to a staggering 160,000 individuals. This alarming situation emerges due to a concerning decline in vaccination rates.

The Disturbing Math: Low Vaccination, High Infection

As vaccination rates decline, the threat of infectious diseases like measles surges, placing unvaccinated children, teenagers, and young adults at severe risk. The UKHSA emphasizes an urgent call to action – get vaccinated.

Vaccination Rates Dipping to an All-Time Low

In the last ten years, the UK has observed a disquieting decrease in vaccinations for measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR). Approximately one in ten children remain unprotected by the time they step into primary school.

A notable dip in immunization rates occurred in the early 2000s following alleged, and now entirely debunked, links between the MMR vaccine and autism.

The Danger of Measles: Highly Contagious and Increasingly Prevalent

Measles ranks as one of the most contagious diseases globally, and increasing numbers of individuals are left without protection.

By employing statistical models, scientists at the UKHSA and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine have calculated the potential for tens of thousands of cases in the capital.

While this prediction is currently theoretical, it raises concern since the virus replication rate (R number) has exceeded, or is near, the critical value of 1.0, beyond which a virus can rapidly spread.

Potential Strain on the NHS: Large Outbreaks Could Overwhelm Healthcare

An extensive measles outbreak could severely strain the NHS, with hospital care needed for between 20% and 40% of infected people.

According to Dr. Vanessa Saliba, a consultant epidemiologist at the UKHSA, due to persistently suboptimal vaccine uptake, London is at a very real risk of witnessing significant outbreaks.

Call to Action: Vaccinate Now

Measles vaccination rates worldwide have faltered due to disruptions in healthcare triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. The NHS is initiating catch-up programs, urging parents to verify their children’s vaccination status and promoting the necessity of immunization.

The Risks and Prevention of Measles

Measles often begins as a simple cold, followed by a rash, but can lead to severe complications.

Prof Beate Kampmann, Professor of Paediatric Infection and Immunity at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, warns that for every 1,000 children infected with measles, one or two could tragically lose their lives.

To stave off severe cases, deaths, and community outbreaks, the ideal vaccination coverage should be 95% of the population. However, the current coverage is significantly lower than this target, sounding alarm bells for public health.

Protective Measures: Ensure Vaccination

The NHS and public health experts recommend children have their first dose of the MMR vaccine by their first birthday and the second dose by the time they turn three-and-a-half years old.

This regimen provides lifelong protection against measles and prevents the virus’s spread to others.

In times of health uncertainties, it’s crucial to stay informed and protected. Jane Clegg, the Regional Chief Nurse for the NHS in London, encourages individuals with any questions or concerns to consult with their GP practice or local pharmacist. Now is the time to act to safeguard ourselves and our loved ones from measles

The Global Domino Effect: Measles Beyond London While the city of London is currently under a microscope, this scenario is not restricted to the capital alone.

The world has witnessed a slump in measles vaccination rates due to the ongoing health crisis posed by the COVID-19 pandemic.

It has reshaped the focus of healthcare systems worldwide, causing a ripple effect leading to disruptions in routine immunization services.

Outbreaks in regions like South Asia and Africa further enhance the risk of the measles virus reaching the UK, where it could swiftly take hold and spread.

Emphasis on Catch-Up Programmes: Plugging the Vaccination Gap

In response to this precarious situation, the NHS is launching a series of catch-up programs aimed at improving the immunization status of the population.

This initiative encourages parents to ensure their children’s vaccinations are up-to-date and seeks to remind adults about the importance of their MMR boosters.

Understanding Measles: The Quiet Invader

Measles typically initiates as a cold and then manifests as a rash. However, this highly infectious disease can lead to serious complications. Experts reiterate that for every 1,000 children infected with measles, one or two may tragically succumb to it.

Aiming for Herd Immunity: The Road to Recovery

To prevent severe cases, community outbreaks, and fatalities, at least 95% of the population needs to be vaccinated against measles.

However, the current coverage is significantly beneath this target, posing a substantial public health concern.

Achieving herd immunity through extensive MMR vaccination is the most effective way to curb the potential outbreak and protect vulnerable groups in the community.

The Next Steps: Expert Advice

The UK’s healthcare professionals have issued an urgent plea for the public to get vaccinated.

Jane Clegg, the Regional Chief Nurse for the NHS in London, urges anyone with questions or concerns about the measles vaccine to consult their GP practice or local pharmacist for advice.

With the looming threat of a measles outbreak, now is the time to act to ensure individual and community safety from measles.

In times of health uncertainties and challenges, awareness, adherence to recommended medical advice, and timely vaccinations can safeguard us and our communities from potentially severe infectious diseases such as measles.



 source: https://www.bbc.com/news/health-66200444


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